Aurora forecast Bethel Park

Northern Lights tonight in Bethel Park, PA

Updated

Unlikely tonight (Kp 3 forecast; needs about Kp 7 at Bethel Park)

Will you see the northern lights from Bethel Park, Pennsylvania, United States tonight? We combine NOAA's Kp forecast, the OVATION aurora model, cloud cover and the hours of darkness. Times are local (America/New_York).

Kp now
2 quiet, estimated
Max Kp forecast tonight
3 quiet
Kp needed at Bethel Park
about 7 geomagnetic latitude 49.4°
Cloud cover tonight
29% average lowest 0%
Dark sky
7:28 pm – 6:43 am Sun 12° below the horizon
Aurora probability in view now
0% NOAA OVATION, 30–90 min ahead
Moon
100% lit Full Moon

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Tonight in Bethel Park

Bethel Park sits at a geomagnetic latitude of 49.4° N, so the aurora usually needs a Kp index of about 7 or higher before it rises above the northern horizon. Tonight's NOAA forecast peaks at Kp 3 (quiet) during the dark hours, 4.0 short of what Bethel Park needs.

Open-Meteo expects about 29% cloud cover on average between 8 pm and 7 am local time, with 7 of 11 dark hours mostly clear (30% cloud or less).

The Moon is 100% illuminated (full moon), bright enough to wash out a faint aurora, so only a stronger display will stand out. For the best view look north, low on the horizon, from somewhere away from street lights.

Right now NOAA's OVATION model gives up to 0% chance of aurora in the part of the sky visible from Bethel Park. OVATION is a short-range nowcast (30 to 90 minutes ahead), useful for deciding whether to step outside now.

Local timeKp forecastCloud coverAurora chance
Sun 8 pm37%Unlikely
Sun 9 pm348%Unlikely
Sun 10 pm315%Unlikely
Sun 11 pm2100%Unlikely
Mon 12 am261%Unlikely
Mon 1 am273%Unlikely
Mon 2 am210%Unlikely
Mon 3 am23%Unlikely
Mon 4 am22%Unlikely
Mon 5 am20%Unlikely
Mon 6 am20%Unlikely

3-day Kp forecast

None of the next 3 days reaches the Kp 7 that Bethel Park needs. Kp is a global 0–9 index of geomagnetic activity, issued in 3-hour blocks (UTC); NOAA forecasts beyond 24 hours are uncertain, because storms are triggered by solar eruptions that take 1–3 days to arrive.

Day (UTC)Max KpLevelEnough for Bethel Park?
2026-10-252quietNo
2026-10-263quietNo
2026-10-271.7quietNo

Why Bethel Park needs Kp 7

The aurora forms in an oval around the geomagnetic pole, which sits in the Canadian Arctic (about 80.8° N, 72.8° W), not at the geographic pole. That is why North American cities see aurora further south than European cities at the same latitude. At Kp 0 the oval's edge is near 66° geomagnetic; each step of Kp pushes it roughly 2° toward the equator.

At 49.4° geomagnetic, Bethel Park needs about Kp 7 for aurora low on the horizon, Kp 9 or more for a display high in the sky.

Aurora forecast for nearby cities

More sky and weather

Data: NOAA SWPC (Kp, OVATION), Open-Meteo, GeoNames.