Aurora forecast Chester-le-Street

Northern Lights tonight in Chester-le-Street

Updated

Low chance tonight (Kp 3 forecast; needs about Kp 4 at Chester-le-Street) A camera may pick up a faint glow on the horizon if activity runs above forecast.

Will you see the northern lights from Chester-le-Street, England, United Kingdom tonight? We combine NOAA's Kp forecast, the OVATION aurora model, cloud cover and the hours of darkness. Times are local (Europe/London).

Kp now
2 quiet, estimated
Max Kp forecast tonight
3 quiet
Kp needed at Chester-le-Street
about 4 geomagnetic latitude 56.8°
Dark sky
6:04 pm – 5:39 am Sun 12° below the horizon
Aurora probability in view now
5% NOAA OVATION, 30–90 min ahead
Moon
100% lit Full Moon

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Tonight in Chester-le-Street

Chester-le-Street sits at a geomagnetic latitude of 56.8° N, so the aurora usually needs a Kp index of about 4 or higher before it rises above the northern horizon. Tonight's NOAA forecast peaks at Kp 3 (quiet) during the dark hours, 1.0 short of what Chester-le-Street needs.

The Moon is 100% illuminated (full moon), bright enough to wash out a faint aurora, so only a stronger display will stand out. For the best view look north, low on the horizon, from somewhere away from street lights.

Right now NOAA's OVATION model gives up to 5% chance of aurora in the part of the sky visible from Chester-le-Street. OVATION is a short-range nowcast (30 to 90 minutes ahead), useful for deciding whether to step outside now.

Local timeKp forecastCloud coverAurora chance
Sun 10 pm2—Unlikely
Sun 11 pm2—Unlikely
Mon 12 am3—Low
Mon 1 am3—Low
Mon 2 am3—Low
Mon 3 am2—Unlikely
Mon 4 am2—Unlikely
Mon 5 am2—Unlikely

3-day Kp forecast

None of the next 3 days reaches the Kp 4 that Chester-le-Street needs. Kp is a global 0–9 index of geomagnetic activity, issued in 3-hour blocks (UTC); NOAA forecasts beyond 24 hours are uncertain, because storms are triggered by solar eruptions that take 1–3 days to arrive.

Day (UTC)Max KpLevelEnough for Chester-le-Street?
2026-10-252quietNo
2026-10-263quietNo
2026-10-271.7quietNo

Why Chester-le-Street needs Kp 4

The aurora forms in an oval around the geomagnetic pole, which sits in the Canadian Arctic (about 80.8° N, 72.8° W), not at the geographic pole. That is why the Kp a city needs depends on its geomagnetic rather than its geographic latitude. At Kp 0 the oval's edge is near 66° geomagnetic; each step of Kp pushes it roughly 2° toward the equator.

At 56.8° geomagnetic, Chester-le-Street needs about Kp 4 for aurora low on the horizon, Kp 6 or more for a display high in the sky.

Aurora forecast for nearby cities

More sky and weather

Data: NOAA SWPC (Kp, OVATION), Open-Meteo, GeoNames.