Aurora forecast Clifton Park

Northern Lights tonight in Clifton Park, NY

Updated

Unlikely tonight (Kp 3 forecast; needs about Kp 6 at Clifton Park)

Will you see the northern lights from Clifton Park, New York, United States tonight? We combine NOAA's Kp forecast, the OVATION aurora model, cloud cover and the hours of darkness. Times are local (America/New_York).

Kp now
2 quiet, estimated
Max Kp forecast tonight
3 quiet
Kp needed at Clifton Park
about 6 geomagnetic latitude 52.1°
Cloud cover tonight
27% average lowest 0%
Dark sky
7:00 pm – 6:20 am Sun 12° below the horizon
Aurora probability in view now
0% NOAA OVATION, 30–90 min ahead
Moon
100% lit Full Moon

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Tonight in Clifton Park

Clifton Park sits at a geomagnetic latitude of 52.1° N, so the aurora usually needs a Kp index of about 6 or higher before it rises above the northern horizon. Tonight's NOAA forecast peaks at Kp 3 (quiet) during the dark hours, 3.0 short of what Clifton Park needs.

Open-Meteo expects about 27% cloud cover on average between 8 pm and 7 am local time, with 8 of 11 dark hours mostly clear (30% cloud or less).

The Moon is 100% illuminated (full moon), bright enough to wash out a faint aurora, so only a stronger display will stand out. For the best view look north, low on the horizon, from somewhere away from street lights.

Right now NOAA's OVATION model gives up to 0% chance of aurora in the part of the sky visible from Clifton Park. OVATION is a short-range nowcast (30 to 90 minutes ahead), useful for deciding whether to step outside now.

Local timeKp forecastCloud coverAurora chance
Sun 8 pm30%Unlikely
Sun 9 pm30%Unlikely
Sun 10 pm30%Unlikely
Sun 11 pm20%Unlikely
Mon 12 am217%Unlikely
Mon 1 am2100%Unlikely
Mon 2 am261%Unlikely
Mon 3 am20%Unlikely
Mon 4 am25%Unlikely
Mon 5 am299%Unlikely
Mon 6 am214%Unlikely

3-day Kp forecast

None of the next 3 days reaches the Kp 6 that Clifton Park needs. Kp is a global 0–9 index of geomagnetic activity, issued in 3-hour blocks (UTC); NOAA forecasts beyond 24 hours are uncertain, because storms are triggered by solar eruptions that take 1–3 days to arrive.

Day (UTC)Max KpLevelEnough for Clifton Park?
2026-10-252quietNo
2026-10-263quietNo
2026-10-271.7quietNo

Why Clifton Park needs Kp 6

The aurora forms in an oval around the geomagnetic pole, which sits in the Canadian Arctic (about 80.8° N, 72.8° W), not at the geographic pole. That is why North American cities see aurora further south than European cities at the same latitude. At Kp 0 the oval's edge is near 66° geomagnetic; each step of Kp pushes it roughly 2° toward the equator.

At 52.1° geomagnetic, Clifton Park needs about Kp 6 for aurora low on the horizon, Kp 8 or more for a display high in the sky.

Aurora forecast for nearby cities

More sky and weather

Data: NOAA SWPC (Kp, OVATION), Open-Meteo, GeoNames.