Aurora forecast Dawson City
Northern Lights tonight in Dawson City, YT
Updated
Aurora possible but cloudy: Kp 2 forecast, about 98% cloud overnight Dawson City needs about Kp 0; watch for breaks in the cloud.
Will you see the northern lights from Dawson City, Yukon, Canada tonight? We combine NOAA's Kp forecast, the OVATION aurora model, cloud cover and the hours of darkness. Times are local (America/Dawson).
- Kp now
- 2 quiet, estimated
- Max Kp forecast tonight
- 2 quiet
- Kp needed at Dawson City
- about 0 geomagnetic latitude 66.3°
- Cloud cover tonight
- 98% average lowest 94%
- Dark sky
- 8:13 pm – 7:58 am Sun 12° below the horizon
- Aurora probability in view now
- 5% NOAA OVATION, 30–90 min ahead
- Moon
- 100% lit Full Moon
Tonight in Dawson City
Dawson City sits at a geomagnetic latitude of 66.3° N, close to the auroral oval itself, so aurora is possible even on quiet nights (Kp 0–1) whenever the sky is dark and clear. Tonight's NOAA forecast peaks at Kp 2 (quiet) during the dark hours, which is enough for Dawson City.
Open-Meteo expects about 98% cloud cover on average between 9 pm and 8 am local time, with no mostly clear hours.
The Moon is 100% illuminated (full moon), bright enough to wash out a faint aurora, so only a stronger display will stand out. For the best view look north and overhead, from somewhere away from street lights.
Right now NOAA's OVATION model gives up to 5% chance of aurora in the part of the sky visible from Dawson City. OVATION is a short-range nowcast (30 to 90 minutes ahead), useful for deciding whether to step outside now.
| Local time | Kp forecast | Cloud cover | Aurora chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sun 9 pm | 2 | 98% | Active, but cloudy |
| Sun 10 pm | 2 | 99% | Active, but cloudy |
| Sun 11 pm | 2 | 100% | Active, but cloudy |
| Mon 12 am | 2 | 100% | Active, but cloudy |
| Mon 1 am | 2 | 94% | Active, but cloudy |
| Mon 2 am | 2 | 94% | Active, but cloudy |
| Mon 3 am | 2 | 97% | Active, but cloudy |
| Mon 4 am | 2 | 96% | Active, but cloudy |
| Mon 5 am | 2 | 97% | Active, but cloudy |
| Mon 6 am | 2 | 99% | Active, but cloudy |
| Mon 7 am | 2 | 99% | Active, but cloudy |
3-day Kp forecast
3 of the next 3 days reach the Kp 0 that Dawson City needs. Kp is a global 0–9 index of geomagnetic activity, issued in 3-hour blocks (UTC); NOAA forecasts beyond 24 hours are uncertain, because storms are triggered by solar eruptions that take 1–3 days to arrive.
| Day (UTC) | Max Kp | Level | Enough for Dawson City? |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | 2 | quiet | Yes |
| 2026-10-26 | 3 | quiet | Yes |
| 2026-10-27 | 1.7 | quiet | Yes |
Why Dawson City sees aurora on quiet nights
The aurora forms in an oval around the geomagnetic pole, which sits in the Canadian Arctic (about 80.8° N, 72.8° W), not at the geographic pole. That is why North American cities see aurora further south than European cities at the same latitude. At Kp 0 the oval's edge is near 66° geomagnetic; each step of Kp pushes it roughly 2° toward the equator.
At 66.3° geomagnetic, Dawson City lies under the usual position of the auroral oval: on quiet nights the aurora is often overhead, and during strong storms (Kp 5+) the oval can move equatorward past the city, so the display may then be to the south.
Aurora forecast for nearby cities
More sky and weather
Data: NOAA SWPC (Kp, OVATION), Open-Meteo, GeoNames.