Aurora forecast Gorzów Wielkopolski

Northern Lights tonight in Gorzów Wielkopolski

Updated

Unlikely tonight (Kp 3 forecast; needs about Kp 6 at Gorzów Wielkopolski)

Will you see the northern lights from Gorzów Wielkopolski, Lubusz, Poland tonight? We combine NOAA's Kp forecast, the OVATION aurora model, cloud cover and the hours of darkness. Times are local (Europe/Warsaw).

Kp now
2 quiet, estimated
Max Kp forecast tonight
3 quiet
Kp needed at Gorzów Wielkopolski
about 6 geomagnetic latitude 52.1°
Dark sky
6:00 pm – 5:30 am Sun 12° below the horizon
Aurora probability in view now
1% NOAA OVATION, 30–90 min ahead
Moon
100% lit Full Moon

Open on the live map

Tonight in Gorzów Wielkopolski

Gorzów Wielkopolski sits at a geomagnetic latitude of 52.1° N, so the aurora usually needs a Kp index of about 6 or higher before it rises above the northern horizon. Tonight's NOAA forecast peaks at Kp 3 (quiet) during the dark hours, 3.0 short of what Gorzów Wielkopolski needs.

The Moon is 100% illuminated (full moon), bright enough to wash out a faint aurora, so only a stronger display will stand out. For the best view look north, low on the horizon, from somewhere away from street lights.

Right now NOAA's OVATION model gives up to 1% chance of aurora in the part of the sky visible from Gorzów Wielkopolski. OVATION is a short-range nowcast (30 to 90 minutes ahead), useful for deciding whether to step outside now.

Local timeKp forecastCloud coverAurora chance
Mon 1 am3—Unlikely
Mon 2 am3—Unlikely
Mon 3 am3—Unlikely
Mon 4 am2—Unlikely
Mon 5 am2—Unlikely

3-day Kp forecast

None of the next 3 days reaches the Kp 6 that Gorzów Wielkopolski needs. Kp is a global 0–9 index of geomagnetic activity, issued in 3-hour blocks (UTC); NOAA forecasts beyond 24 hours are uncertain, because storms are triggered by solar eruptions that take 1–3 days to arrive.

Day (UTC)Max KpLevelEnough for Gorzów Wielkopolski?
2026-10-252quietNo
2026-10-263quietNo
2026-10-271.7quietNo

Why Gorzów Wielkopolski needs Kp 6

The aurora forms in an oval around the geomagnetic pole, which sits in the Canadian Arctic (about 80.8° N, 72.8° W), not at the geographic pole. That is why the Kp a city needs depends on its geomagnetic rather than its geographic latitude. At Kp 0 the oval's edge is near 66° geomagnetic; each step of Kp pushes it roughly 2° toward the equator.

At 52.1° geomagnetic, Gorzów Wielkopolski needs about Kp 6 for aurora low on the horizon, Kp 8 or more for a display high in the sky. Koszalin, 174 km away, needs about Kp 5.

Aurora forecast for nearby cities

More sky and weather

Data: NOAA SWPC (Kp, OVATION), Open-Meteo, GeoNames.