Aurora forecast Grande Prairie

Northern Lights tonight in Grande Prairie, AB

Updated

Good chance tonight: Kp 3 forecast, clear skies all night, look north Grande Prairie needs about Kp 2.

Will you see the northern lights from Grande Prairie, Alberta, Canada tonight? We combine NOAA's Kp forecast, the OVATION aurora model, cloud cover and the hours of darkness. Times are local (America/Edmonton).

Kp now
2 quiet, estimated
Max Kp forecast tonight
3 quiet
Kp needed at Grande Prairie
about 2 geomagnetic latitude 60.9°
Cloud cover tonight
0% average lowest 0%
Dark sky
7:52 pm – 7:27 am Sun 12° below the horizon
Aurora probability in view now
1% NOAA OVATION, 30–90 min ahead
Moon
100% lit Full Moon

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Tonight in Grande Prairie

Grande Prairie sits at a geomagnetic latitude of 60.9° N, so the aurora usually needs a Kp index of about 2 or higher before it rises above the northern horizon. Tonight's NOAA forecast peaks at Kp 3 (quiet) during the dark hours, which is enough for Grande Prairie.

Open-Meteo expects about 0% cloud cover on average between 8 pm and 8 am local time, with 12 of 12 dark hours mostly clear (30% cloud or less).

The Moon is 100% illuminated (full moon), bright enough to wash out a faint aurora, so only a stronger display will stand out. For the best view look north, low on the horizon, from somewhere away from street lights.

Right now NOAA's OVATION model gives up to 1% chance of aurora in the part of the sky visible from Grande Prairie. OVATION is a short-range nowcast (30 to 90 minutes ahead), useful for deciding whether to step outside now.

Local timeKp forecastCloud coverAurora chance
Sun 8 pm30%Good
Sun 9 pm20%Good
Sun 10 pm20%Good
Sun 11 pm20%Good
Mon 12 am20%Good
Mon 1 am20%Good
Mon 2 am20%Good
Mon 3 am20%Good
Mon 4 am20%Good
Mon 5 am20%Good
Mon 6 am20%Good
Mon 7 am20%Good

3-day Kp forecast

3 of the next 3 days reach the Kp 2 that Grande Prairie needs. Kp is a global 0–9 index of geomagnetic activity, issued in 3-hour blocks (UTC); NOAA forecasts beyond 24 hours are uncertain, because storms are triggered by solar eruptions that take 1–3 days to arrive.

Day (UTC)Max KpLevelEnough for Grande Prairie?
2026-10-252quietYes
2026-10-263quietYes
2026-10-271.7quietYes

Why Grande Prairie needs Kp 2

The aurora forms in an oval around the geomagnetic pole, which sits in the Canadian Arctic (about 80.8° N, 72.8° W), not at the geographic pole. That is why North American cities see aurora further south than European cities at the same latitude. At Kp 0 the oval's edge is near 66° geomagnetic; each step of Kp pushes it roughly 2° toward the equator.

At 60.9° geomagnetic, Grande Prairie needs about Kp 2 for aurora low on the horizon, Kp 4 or more for a display high in the sky.

Aurora forecast for nearby cities

More sky and weather

Data: NOAA SWPC (Kp, OVATION), Open-Meteo, GeoNames.