Aurora forecast Paris

Northern Lights tonight in Paris

Updated

Unlikely tonight (Kp 3 forecast; needs about Kp 7 at Paris)

Will you see the northern lights from Paris, Île-de-France, France tonight? We combine NOAA's Kp forecast, the OVATION aurora model, cloud cover and the hours of darkness. Times are local (Europe/Paris).

Kp now
2 quiet, estimated
Max Kp forecast tonight
3 quiet
Kp needed at Paris
about 7 geomagnetic latitude 50.4°
Cloud cover tonight
62% average lowest 1%
Dark sky
6:52 pm – 6:22 am Sun 12° below the horizon
Aurora probability in view now
0% NOAA OVATION, 30–90 min ahead
Moon
100% lit Full Moon

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Tonight in Paris

Paris sits at a geomagnetic latitude of 50.4° N, so the aurora usually needs a Kp index of about 7 or higher before it rises above the northern horizon. Tonight's NOAA forecast peaks at Kp 3 (quiet) during the dark hours, 4.0 short of what Paris needs.

Open-Meteo expects about 62% cloud cover on average between 8 pm and 7 am local time, with 2 of 11 dark hours mostly clear (30% cloud or less).

The Moon is 100% illuminated (full moon), bright enough to wash out a faint aurora, so only a stronger display will stand out. For the best view look north, low on the horizon, from somewhere away from street lights.

Right now NOAA's OVATION model gives up to 0% chance of aurora in the part of the sky visible from Paris. OVATION is a short-range nowcast (30 to 90 minutes ahead), useful for deciding whether to step outside now.

Local timeKp forecastCloud coverAurora chance
Sun 8 pm250%Unlikely
Sun 9 pm228%Unlikely
Sun 10 pm21%Unlikely
Sun 11 pm256%Unlikely
Mon 12 am237%Unlikely
Mon 1 am392%Unlikely
Mon 2 am3100%Unlikely
Mon 3 am3100%Unlikely
Mon 4 am283%Unlikely
Mon 5 am252%Unlikely
Mon 6 am280%Unlikely

3-day Kp forecast

None of the next 3 days reaches the Kp 7 that Paris needs. Kp is a global 0–9 index of geomagnetic activity, issued in 3-hour blocks (UTC); NOAA forecasts beyond 24 hours are uncertain, because storms are triggered by solar eruptions that take 1–3 days to arrive.

Day (UTC)Max KpLevelEnough for Paris?
2026-10-252quietNo
2026-10-263quietNo
2026-10-271.7quietNo

Why Paris needs Kp 7

The aurora forms in an oval around the geomagnetic pole, which sits in the Canadian Arctic (about 80.8° N, 72.8° W), not at the geographic pole. That is why the Kp a city needs depends on its geomagnetic rather than its geographic latitude. At Kp 0 the oval's edge is near 66° geomagnetic; each step of Kp pushes it roughly 2° toward the equator.

At 50.4° geomagnetic, Paris needs about Kp 7 for aurora low on the horizon, Kp 9 or more for a display high in the sky.

Aurora forecast for nearby cities

More sky and weather

Data: NOAA SWPC (Kp, OVATION), Open-Meteo, GeoNames.