Aurora forecast Piacenza

Northern Lights tonight in Piacenza

Updated

Unlikely tonight (Kp 1.7 forecast; needs about Kp 9 at Piacenza)

Will you see the northern lights from Piacenza, Emilia-Romagna, Italy tonight? We combine NOAA's Kp forecast, the OVATION aurora model, cloud cover and the hours of darkness. Times are local (Europe/Rome).

Kp now
1.7 quiet, estimated
Max Kp forecast tonight
1.7 quiet
Kp needed at Piacenza
about 9 geomagnetic latitude 45.5°
Cloud cover tonight
64% average lowest 47%
Dark sky
6:22 pm – 5:52 am Sun 12° below the horizon
Aurora probability in view now
0% NOAA OVATION, 30–90 min ahead
Moon
99% lit Full Moon

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Tonight in Piacenza

Piacenza sits at a geomagnetic latitude of 45.5° N, so the aurora usually needs a Kp index of about 9 or higher before it rises above the northern horizon. Tonight's NOAA forecast peaks at Kp 1.7 (quiet) during the dark hours, 7.3 short of what Piacenza needs.

Open-Meteo expects about 64% cloud cover on average between 7 pm and 6 am local time, with no mostly clear hours.

The Moon is 99% illuminated (full moon), bright enough to wash out a faint aurora, so only a stronger display will stand out. For the best view look north, low on the horizon, from somewhere away from street lights.

Right now NOAA's OVATION model gives up to 0% chance of aurora in the part of the sky visible from Piacenza. OVATION is a short-range nowcast (30 to 90 minutes ahead), useful for deciding whether to step outside now.

Local timeKp forecastCloud coverAurora chance
Mon 7 pm1.750%Unlikely
Mon 8 pm1.747%Unlikely
Mon 9 pm1.751%Unlikely
Mon 10 pm1.752%Unlikely
Mon 11 pm1.763%Unlikely
Tue 12 am1.765%Unlikely
Tue 1 am1.789%Unlikely
Tue 2 am1.747%Unlikely
Tue 3 am1.758%Unlikely
Tue 4 am1.380%Unlikely
Tue 5 am1.3100%Unlikely

3-day Kp forecast

None of the next 3 days reaches the Kp 9 that Piacenza needs. Kp is a global 0–9 index of geomagnetic activity, issued in 3-hour blocks (UTC); NOAA forecasts beyond 24 hours are uncertain, because storms are triggered by solar eruptions that take 1–3 days to arrive.

Day (UTC)Max KpLevelEnough for Piacenza?
2026-10-261.7quietNo
2026-10-271.7quietNo
2026-10-281.7quietNo

Why Piacenza needs Kp 9

The aurora forms in an oval around the geomagnetic pole, which sits in the Canadian Arctic (about 80.8° N, 72.8° W), not at the geographic pole. That is why the Kp a city needs depends on its geomagnetic rather than its geographic latitude. At Kp 0 the oval's edge is near 66° geomagnetic; each step of Kp pushes it roughly 2° toward the equator.

At 45.5° geomagnetic, Piacenza needs about Kp 9 for aurora low on the horizon, Kp 9 or more for a display high in the sky.

Aurora forecast for nearby cities

More sky and weather

Data: NOAA SWPC (Kp, OVATION), Open-Meteo, GeoNames.