Aurora forecast Salaberry-de-Valleyfield

Northern Lights tonight in Salaberry-de-Valleyfield, QC

Updated

Unlikely tonight (Kp 1.7 forecast; needs about Kp 5 at Salaberry-de-Valleyfield)

Will you see the northern lights from Salaberry-de-Valleyfield, Quebec, Canada tonight? We combine NOAA's Kp forecast, the OVATION aurora model, cloud cover and the hours of darkness. Times are local (America/Toronto).

Kp now
1.7 quiet, estimated
Max Kp forecast tonight
1.7 quiet
Kp needed at Salaberry-de-Valleyfield
about 5 geomagnetic latitude 54.4°
Cloud cover tonight
85% average lowest 17%
Dark sky
7:03 pm – 6:23 am Sun 12° below the horizon
Aurora probability in view now
1% NOAA OVATION, 30–90 min ahead
Moon
100% lit Full Moon

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Tonight in Salaberry-de-Valleyfield

Salaberry-de-Valleyfield sits at a geomagnetic latitude of 54.4° N, so the aurora usually needs a Kp index of about 5 or higher before it rises above the northern horizon. Tonight's NOAA forecast peaks at Kp 1.7 (quiet) during the dark hours, 3.3 short of what Salaberry-de-Valleyfield needs.

Open-Meteo expects about 85% cloud cover on average between 9 pm and 7 am local time, with 1 of 10 dark hours mostly clear (30% cloud or less).

The Moon is 100% illuminated (full moon), bright enough to wash out a faint aurora, so only a stronger display will stand out. For the best view look north, low on the horizon, from somewhere away from street lights.

Right now NOAA's OVATION model gives up to 1% chance of aurora in the part of the sky visible from Salaberry-de-Valleyfield. OVATION is a short-range nowcast (30 to 90 minutes ahead), useful for deciding whether to step outside now.

Local timeKp forecastCloud coverAurora chance
Sun 9 pm1.7100%Unlikely
Sun 10 pm1.7100%Unlikely
Sun 11 pm1.395%Unlikely
Mon 12 am1.3100%Unlikely
Mon 1 am1.3100%Unlikely
Mon 2 am1.3100%Unlikely
Mon 3 am1.3100%Unlikely
Mon 4 am1.337%Unlikely
Mon 5 am1.317%Unlikely
Mon 6 am1.3100%Unlikely

3-day Kp forecast

None of the next 3 days reaches the Kp 5 that Salaberry-de-Valleyfield needs. Kp is a global 0–9 index of geomagnetic activity, issued in 3-hour blocks (UTC); NOAA forecasts beyond 24 hours are uncertain, because storms are triggered by solar eruptions that take 1–3 days to arrive.

Day (UTC)Max KpLevelEnough for Salaberry-de-Valleyfield?
2026-10-261.7quietNo
2026-10-271.7quietNo
2026-10-281.7quietNo

Why Salaberry-de-Valleyfield needs Kp 5

The aurora forms in an oval around the geomagnetic pole, which sits in the Canadian Arctic (about 80.8° N, 72.8° W), not at the geographic pole. That is why North American cities see aurora further south than European cities at the same latitude. At Kp 0 the oval's edge is near 66° geomagnetic; each step of Kp pushes it roughly 2° toward the equator.

At 54.4° geomagnetic, Salaberry-de-Valleyfield needs about Kp 5 for aurora low on the horizon, Kp 7 or more for a display high in the sky.

Aurora forecast for nearby cities

More sky and weather

Data: NOAA SWPC (Kp, OVATION), Open-Meteo, GeoNames.