Aurora forecast Stratford

Northern Lights tonight in Stratford, CT

Updated

Unlikely tonight (Kp 3 forecast; needs about Kp 7 at Stratford)

Will you see the northern lights from Stratford, Connecticut, United States tonight? We combine NOAA's Kp forecast, the OVATION aurora model, cloud cover and the hours of darkness. Times are local (America/New_York).

Kp now
2 quiet, estimated
Max Kp forecast tonight
3 quiet
Kp needed at Stratford
about 7 geomagnetic latitude 50.4°
Cloud cover tonight
1% average lowest 0%
Dark sky
7:00 pm – 6:20 am Sun 12° below the horizon
Aurora probability in view now
0% NOAA OVATION, 30–90 min ahead
Moon
100% lit Full Moon

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Tonight in Stratford

Stratford sits at a geomagnetic latitude of 50.4° N, so the aurora usually needs a Kp index of about 7 or higher before it rises above the northern horizon. Tonight's NOAA forecast peaks at Kp 3 (quiet) during the dark hours, 4.0 short of what Stratford needs.

Open-Meteo expects about 1% cloud cover on average between 8 pm and 7 am local time, with 11 of 11 dark hours mostly clear (30% cloud or less).

The Moon is 100% illuminated (full moon), bright enough to wash out a faint aurora, so only a stronger display will stand out. For the best view look north, low on the horizon, from somewhere away from street lights.

Right now NOAA's OVATION model gives up to 0% chance of aurora in the part of the sky visible from Stratford. OVATION is a short-range nowcast (30 to 90 minutes ahead), useful for deciding whether to step outside now.

Local timeKp forecastCloud coverAurora chance
Sun 8 pm30%Unlikely
Sun 9 pm30%Unlikely
Sun 10 pm31%Unlikely
Sun 11 pm23%Unlikely
Mon 12 am22%Unlikely
Mon 1 am20%Unlikely
Mon 2 am20%Unlikely
Mon 3 am20%Unlikely
Mon 4 am20%Unlikely
Mon 5 am20%Unlikely
Mon 6 am20%Unlikely

3-day Kp forecast

None of the next 3 days reaches the Kp 7 that Stratford needs. Kp is a global 0–9 index of geomagnetic activity, issued in 3-hour blocks (UTC); NOAA forecasts beyond 24 hours are uncertain, because storms are triggered by solar eruptions that take 1–3 days to arrive.

Day (UTC)Max KpLevelEnough for Stratford?
2026-10-252quietNo
2026-10-263quietNo
2026-10-271.7quietNo

Why Stratford needs Kp 7

The aurora forms in an oval around the geomagnetic pole, which sits in the Canadian Arctic (about 80.8° N, 72.8° W), not at the geographic pole. That is why North American cities see aurora further south than European cities at the same latitude. At Kp 0 the oval's edge is near 66° geomagnetic; each step of Kp pushes it roughly 2° toward the equator.

At 50.4° geomagnetic, Stratford needs about Kp 7 for aurora low on the horizon, Kp 9 or more for a display high in the sky.

Aurora forecast for nearby cities

More sky and weather

Data: NOAA SWPC (Kp, OVATION), Open-Meteo, GeoNames.