Aurora forecast Trois-Rivières

Northern Lights tonight in Trois-Rivières, QC

Updated

Low chance tonight (Kp 3 forecast; needs about Kp 4 at Trois-Rivières) A camera may pick up a faint glow on the horizon if activity runs above forecast.

Will you see the northern lights from Trois-Rivières, Quebec, Canada tonight? We combine NOAA's Kp forecast, the OVATION aurora model, cloud cover and the hours of darkness. Times are local (America/Toronto).

Kp now
2 quiet, estimated
Max Kp forecast tonight
3 quiet
Kp needed at Trois-Rivières
about 4 geomagnetic latitude 55.5°
Dark sky
6:53 pm – 6:18 am Sun 12° below the horizon
Aurora probability in view now
1% NOAA OVATION, 30–90 min ahead
Moon
100% lit Full Moon

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Tonight in Trois-Rivières

Trois-Rivières sits at a geomagnetic latitude of 55.5° N, so the aurora usually needs a Kp index of about 4 or higher before it rises above the northern horizon. Tonight's NOAA forecast peaks at Kp 3 (quiet) during the dark hours, 1.0 short of what Trois-Rivières needs.

The Moon is 100% illuminated (full moon), bright enough to wash out a faint aurora, so only a stronger display will stand out. For the best view look north, low on the horizon, from somewhere away from street lights.

Right now NOAA's OVATION model gives up to 1% chance of aurora in the part of the sky visible from Trois-Rivières. OVATION is a short-range nowcast (30 to 90 minutes ahead), useful for deciding whether to step outside now.

Local timeKp forecastCloud coverAurora chance
Sun 7 pm2—Unlikely
Sun 8 pm3—Low
Sun 9 pm3—Low
Sun 10 pm3—Low
Sun 11 pm2—Unlikely
Mon 12 am2—Unlikely
Mon 1 am2—Unlikely
Mon 2 am2—Unlikely
Mon 3 am2—Unlikely
Mon 4 am2—Unlikely
Mon 5 am2—Unlikely
Mon 6 am2—Unlikely

3-day Kp forecast

None of the next 3 days reaches the Kp 4 that Trois-Rivières needs. Kp is a global 0–9 index of geomagnetic activity, issued in 3-hour blocks (UTC); NOAA forecasts beyond 24 hours are uncertain, because storms are triggered by solar eruptions that take 1–3 days to arrive.

Day (UTC)Max KpLevelEnough for Trois-Rivières?
2026-10-252quietNo
2026-10-263quietNo
2026-10-271.7quietNo

Why Trois-Rivières needs Kp 4

The aurora forms in an oval around the geomagnetic pole, which sits in the Canadian Arctic (about 80.8° N, 72.8° W), not at the geographic pole. That is why North American cities see aurora further south than European cities at the same latitude. At Kp 0 the oval's edge is near 66° geomagnetic; each step of Kp pushes it roughly 2° toward the equator.

At 55.5° geomagnetic, Trois-Rivières needs about Kp 4 for aurora low on the horizon, Kp 6 or more for a display high in the sky.

Aurora forecast for nearby cities

More sky and weather

Data: NOAA SWPC (Kp, OVATION), Open-Meteo, GeoNames.