Aurora forecast Wilkes-Barre

Northern Lights tonight in Wilkes-Barre, PA

Updated

Unlikely tonight (Kp 3 forecast; needs about Kp 7 at Wilkes-Barre)

Will you see the northern lights from Wilkes-Barre, Pennsylvania, United States tonight? We combine NOAA's Kp forecast, the OVATION aurora model, cloud cover and the hours of darkness. Times are local (America/New_York).

Kp now
2 quiet, estimated
Max Kp forecast tonight
3 quiet
Kp needed at Wilkes-Barre
about 7 geomagnetic latitude 50.4°
Cloud cover tonight
11% average lowest 0%
Dark sky
7:12 pm – 6:27 am Sun 12° below the horizon
Aurora probability in view now
0% NOAA OVATION, 30–90 min ahead
Moon
100% lit Full Moon

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Tonight in Wilkes-Barre

Wilkes-Barre sits at a geomagnetic latitude of 50.4° N, so the aurora usually needs a Kp index of about 7 or higher before it rises above the northern horizon. Tonight's NOAA forecast peaks at Kp 3 (quiet) during the dark hours, 4.0 short of what Wilkes-Barre needs.

Open-Meteo expects about 11% cloud cover on average between 8 pm and 7 am local time, with 10 of 11 dark hours mostly clear (30% cloud or less).

The Moon is 100% illuminated (full moon), bright enough to wash out a faint aurora, so only a stronger display will stand out. For the best view look north, low on the horizon, from somewhere away from street lights.

Right now NOAA's OVATION model gives up to 0% chance of aurora in the part of the sky visible from Wilkes-Barre. OVATION is a short-range nowcast (30 to 90 minutes ahead), useful for deciding whether to step outside now.

Local timeKp forecastCloud coverAurora chance
Sun 8 pm30%Unlikely
Sun 9 pm30%Unlikely
Sun 10 pm30%Unlikely
Sun 11 pm20%Unlikely
Mon 12 am22%Unlikely
Mon 1 am225%Unlikely
Mon 2 am210%Unlikely
Mon 3 am20%Unlikely
Mon 4 am23%Unlikely
Mon 5 am24%Unlikely
Mon 6 am277%Unlikely

3-day Kp forecast

None of the next 3 days reaches the Kp 7 that Wilkes-Barre needs. Kp is a global 0–9 index of geomagnetic activity, issued in 3-hour blocks (UTC); NOAA forecasts beyond 24 hours are uncertain, because storms are triggered by solar eruptions that take 1–3 days to arrive.

Day (UTC)Max KpLevelEnough for Wilkes-Barre?
2026-10-252quietNo
2026-10-263quietNo
2026-10-271.7quietNo

Why Wilkes-Barre needs Kp 7

The aurora forms in an oval around the geomagnetic pole, which sits in the Canadian Arctic (about 80.8° N, 72.8° W), not at the geographic pole. That is why North American cities see aurora further south than European cities at the same latitude. At Kp 0 the oval's edge is near 66° geomagnetic; each step of Kp pushes it roughly 2° toward the equator.

At 50.4° geomagnetic, Wilkes-Barre needs about Kp 7 for aurora low on the horizon, Kp 9 or more for a display high in the sky. Binghamton, 95 km away, needs about Kp 6.

Aurora forecast for nearby cities

More sky and weather

Data: NOAA SWPC (Kp, OVATION), Open-Meteo, GeoNames.