Aurora forecast Uppsala

Northern Lights tonight in Uppsala

Updated

Possible tonight: Kp 3 forecast (needs about Kp 3); check the clouds and look north

Will you see the northern lights from Uppsala, Sweden tonight? We combine NOAA's Kp forecast, the OVATION aurora model, cloud cover and the hours of darkness. Times are local (Europe/Stockholm).

Kp now
2 quiet, estimated
Max Kp forecast tonight
3 quiet
Kp needed at Uppsala
about 3 geomagnetic latitude 58.5°
Dark sky
5:48 pm – 5:23 am Sun 12° below the horizon
Aurora probability in view now
17% NOAA OVATION, 30–90 min ahead
Moon
100% lit Full Moon

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Tonight in Uppsala

Uppsala sits at a geomagnetic latitude of 58.5° N, so the aurora usually needs a Kp index of about 3 or higher before it rises above the northern horizon. Tonight's NOAA forecast peaks at Kp 3 (quiet) during the dark hours, which is enough for Uppsala.

The Moon is 100% illuminated (full moon), bright enough to wash out a faint aurora, so only a stronger display will stand out. For the best view look north, low on the horizon, from somewhere away from street lights.

Right now NOAA's OVATION model gives up to 17% chance of aurora in the part of the sky visible from Uppsala. OVATION is a short-range nowcast (30 to 90 minutes ahead), useful for deciding whether to step outside now.

Local timeKp forecastCloud coverAurora chance
Sun 9 pm2—Low
Sun 10 pm2—Low
Sun 11 pm2—Low
Mon 12 am2—Low
Mon 1 am3—Good
Mon 2 am3—Good
Mon 3 am3—Good
Mon 4 am2—Low
Mon 5 am2—Low

3-day Kp forecast

1 of the next 3 days reach the Kp 3 that Uppsala needs. Kp is a global 0–9 index of geomagnetic activity, issued in 3-hour blocks (UTC); NOAA forecasts beyond 24 hours are uncertain, because storms are triggered by solar eruptions that take 1–3 days to arrive.

Day (UTC)Max KpLevelEnough for Uppsala?
2026-10-252quietNo
2026-10-263quietYes
2026-10-271.7quietNo

Why Uppsala needs Kp 3

The aurora forms in an oval around the geomagnetic pole, which sits in the Canadian Arctic (about 80.8° N, 72.8° W), not at the geographic pole. That is why the Kp a city needs depends on its geomagnetic rather than its geographic latitude. At Kp 0 the oval's edge is near 66° geomagnetic; each step of Kp pushes it roughly 2° toward the equator.

At 58.5° geomagnetic, Uppsala needs about Kp 3 for aurora low on the horizon, Kp 5 or more for a display high in the sky. Oslo, 384 km away, needs about Kp 2.

Aurora forecast for nearby cities

More sky and weather

Data: NOAA SWPC (Kp, OVATION), Open-Meteo, GeoNames.