Aurora forecast Oslo

Northern Lights tonight in Oslo

Updated

Good chance tonight: Kp 1.7 forecast, clear skies from dusk, look north Oslo needs about Kp 2.

Will you see the northern lights from Oslo, Norway tonight? We combine NOAA's Kp forecast, the OVATION aurora model, cloud cover and the hours of darkness. Times are local (Europe/Oslo).

Kp now
1.7 quiet, estimated
Max Kp forecast tonight
1.7 quiet
Kp needed at Oslo
about 2 geomagnetic latitude 59.7°
Cloud cover tonight
73% average lowest 0%
Dark sky
6:14 pm – 5:54 am Sun 12° below the horizon
Aurora probability in view now
4% NOAA OVATION, 30–90 min ahead
Moon
99% lit Full Moon

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Tonight in Oslo

Oslo sits at a geomagnetic latitude of 59.7° N, so the aurora usually needs a Kp index of about 2 or higher before it rises above the northern horizon. Tonight's NOAA forecast peaks at Kp 1.7 (quiet) during the dark hours, 0.3 short of what Oslo needs.

Open-Meteo expects about 73% cloud cover on average between 7 pm and 6 am local time, with 2 of 11 dark hours mostly clear (30% cloud or less).

The Moon is 99% illuminated (full moon), bright enough to wash out a faint aurora, so only a stronger display will stand out. For the best view look north, low on the horizon, from somewhere away from street lights.

Right now NOAA's OVATION model gives up to 4% chance of aurora in the part of the sky visible from Oslo. OVATION is a short-range nowcast (30 to 90 minutes ahead), useful for deciding whether to step outside now.

Local timeKp forecastCloud coverAurora chance
Mon 7 pm1.70%Good
Mon 8 pm1.719%Good
Mon 9 pm1.767%Good
Mon 10 pm1.743%Good
Mon 11 pm1.777%Active, but cloudy
Tue 12 am1.799%Active, but cloudy
Tue 1 am1.7100%Active, but cloudy
Tue 2 am1.7100%Active, but cloudy
Tue 3 am1.7100%Active, but cloudy
Tue 4 am1.3100%Low
Tue 5 am1.3100%Low

3-day Kp forecast

3 of the next 3 days reach the Kp 2 that Oslo needs. Kp is a global 0–9 index of geomagnetic activity, issued in 3-hour blocks (UTC); NOAA forecasts beyond 24 hours are uncertain, because storms are triggered by solar eruptions that take 1–3 days to arrive.

Day (UTC)Max KpLevelEnough for Oslo?
2026-10-261.7quietYes
2026-10-271.7quietYes
2026-10-281.7quietYes

Why Oslo needs Kp 2

The aurora forms in an oval around the geomagnetic pole, which sits in the Canadian Arctic (about 80.8° N, 72.8° W), not at the geographic pole. That is why the Kp a city needs depends on its geomagnetic rather than its geographic latitude. At Kp 0 the oval's edge is near 66° geomagnetic; each step of Kp pushes it roughly 2° toward the equator.

At 59.7° geomagnetic, Oslo needs about Kp 2 for aurora low on the horizon, Kp 4 or more for a display high in the sky.

Aurora forecast for nearby cities

More sky and weather

Data: NOAA SWPC (Kp, OVATION), Open-Meteo, GeoNames.