Aurora forecast Drammen

Northern Lights tonight in Drammen

Updated

Possible tonight: Kp 3 forecast (needs about Kp 2); check the clouds and look north

Will you see the northern lights from Drammen, Buskerud, Norway tonight? We combine NOAA's Kp forecast, the OVATION aurora model, cloud cover and the hours of darkness. Times are local (Europe/Oslo).

Kp now
1.7 quiet, estimated
Max Kp forecast tonight
3 quiet
Kp needed at Drammen
about 2 geomagnetic latitude 59.6°
Dark sky
6:16 pm – 5:56 am Sun 12° below the horizon
Aurora probability in view now
15% NOAA OVATION, 30–90 min ahead
Moon
99% lit Full Moon

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Tonight in Drammen

Drammen sits at a geomagnetic latitude of 59.6° N, so the aurora usually needs a Kp index of about 2 or higher before it rises above the northern horizon. Tonight's NOAA forecast peaks at Kp 3 (quiet) during the dark hours, which is enough for Drammen.

The Moon is 99% illuminated (full moon), bright enough to wash out a faint aurora, so only a stronger display will stand out. For the best view look north, low on the horizon, from somewhere away from street lights.

Right now NOAA's OVATION model gives up to 15% chance of aurora in the part of the sky visible from Drammen. OVATION is a short-range nowcast (30 to 90 minutes ahead), useful for deciding whether to step outside now.

Local timeKp forecastCloud coverAurora chance
Tue 12 am1.7—Good
Tue 1 am3—Good
Tue 2 am3—Good
Tue 3 am3—Good
Tue 4 am2.7—Good
Tue 5 am2.7—Good

3-day Kp forecast

3 of the next 3 days reach the Kp 2 that Drammen needs. Kp is a global 0–9 index of geomagnetic activity, issued in 3-hour blocks (UTC); NOAA forecasts beyond 24 hours are uncertain, because storms are triggered by solar eruptions that take 1–3 days to arrive.

Day (UTC)Max KpLevelEnough for Drammen?
2026-10-262quietYes
2026-10-273quietYes
2026-10-281.7quietYes

Why Drammen needs Kp 2

The aurora forms in an oval around the geomagnetic pole, which sits in the Canadian Arctic (about 80.8° N, 72.8° W), not at the geographic pole. That is why the Kp a city needs depends on its geomagnetic rather than its geographic latitude. At Kp 0 the oval's edge is near 66° geomagnetic; each step of Kp pushes it roughly 2° toward the equator.

At 59.6° geomagnetic, Drammen needs about Kp 2 for aurora low on the horizon, Kp 4 or more for a display high in the sky.

Aurora forecast for nearby cities

More sky and weather

Data: NOAA SWPC (Kp, OVATION), Open-Meteo, GeoNames.