Aurora forecast Kristiansand
Northern Lights tonight in Kristiansand
Updated
Possible tonight: Kp 3 forecast (needs about Kp 3); check the clouds and look north
Will you see the northern lights from Kristiansand, Agder, Norway tonight? We combine NOAA's Kp forecast, the OVATION aurora model, cloud cover and the hours of darkness. Times are local (Europe/Oslo).
- Kp now
- 2 quiet, estimated
- Max Kp forecast tonight
- 3 quiet
- Kp needed at Kristiansand
- about 3 geomagnetic latitude 58.4°
- Dark sky
- 6:28 pm – 6:03 am Sun 12° below the horizon
- Aurora probability in view now
- 11% NOAA OVATION, 30–90 min ahead
- Moon
- 100% lit Full Moon
Tonight in Kristiansand
Kristiansand sits at a geomagnetic latitude of 58.4° N, so the aurora usually needs a Kp index of about 3 or higher before it rises above the northern horizon. Tonight's NOAA forecast peaks at Kp 3 (quiet) during the dark hours, which is enough for Kristiansand.
The Moon is 100% illuminated (full moon), bright enough to wash out a faint aurora, so only a stronger display will stand out. For the best view look north, low on the horizon, from somewhere away from street lights.
Right now NOAA's OVATION model gives up to 11% chance of aurora in the part of the sky visible from Kristiansand. OVATION is a short-range nowcast (30 to 90 minutes ahead), useful for deciding whether to step outside now.
| Local time | Kp forecast | Cloud cover | Aurora chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 12 am | 2 | — | Low |
| Mon 1 am | 3 | — | Good |
| Mon 2 am | 3 | — | Good |
| Mon 3 am | 3 | — | Good |
| Mon 4 am | 2 | — | Low |
| Mon 5 am | 2 | — | Low |
| Mon 6 am | 2 | — | Low |
3-day Kp forecast
1 of the next 3 days reach the Kp 3 that Kristiansand needs. Kp is a global 0–9 index of geomagnetic activity, issued in 3-hour blocks (UTC); NOAA forecasts beyond 24 hours are uncertain, because storms are triggered by solar eruptions that take 1–3 days to arrive.
| Day (UTC) | Max Kp | Level | Enough for Kristiansand? |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | 2 | quiet | No |
| 2026-10-26 | 3 | quiet | Yes |
| 2026-10-27 | 1.7 | quiet | No |
Why Kristiansand needs Kp 3
The aurora forms in an oval around the geomagnetic pole, which sits in the Canadian Arctic (about 80.8° N, 72.8° W), not at the geographic pole. That is why the Kp a city needs depends on its geomagnetic rather than its geographic latitude. At Kp 0 the oval's edge is near 66° geomagnetic; each step of Kp pushes it roughly 2° toward the equator.
At 58.4° geomagnetic, Kristiansand needs about Kp 3 for aurora low on the horizon, Kp 5 or more for a display high in the sky. Stavanger, 161 km away, needs about Kp 2.
Aurora forecast for nearby cities
More sky and weather
Data: NOAA SWPC (Kp, OVATION), Open-Meteo, GeoNames.