Solar storm forecast Cabo San Lucas

Space weather today in Cabo San Lucas

Updated

G1 minor geomagnetic storm forecast. Aurora in Cabo San Lucas: unlikely tonight (Kp 2.3 forecast; Cabo San Lucas needs an extreme Kp 9 storm) It is night in Cabo San Lucas, so solar-flare radio blackouts (sunlit side only) do not reach it now.

Space weather in Cabo San Lucas today

G1 minor geomagnetic storm forecast (NOAA, 2026-11-06 03:27 UTC). The planetary Kp index is 2 now and forecast to peak at Kp 5 in the next 24 hours. NOAA gives a 35% chance of R1–R2 radio blackouts today, 10% for R3 or stronger, and 5% for a solar radiation storm.

Radio: solar flares only black out HF radio on the half of Earth facing the Sun. The Sun is 40° below the horizon in Cabo San Lucas now (8:33 pm local time). The biggest flare in the past 24 hours was M3.5 at 11:33 am local time, while Cabo San Lucas was in daylight, so HF radio here may have faded briefly. HF radio is mainly hit by daytime solar flares (radio blackouts), not by geomagnetic storms.

GPS and power: GPS is normally unaffected; only severe G4–G5 storms cause noticeable errors here. Power grid effects are very unlikely at this latitude.

Is there a solar storm today, and does it reach Cabo San Lucas, Baja California Sur, Mexico? Live NOAA space weather, translated for Cabo San Lucas: geomagnetic storms, solar flares and radio blackouts, GPS effects and tonight's aurora chance. Times are local (America/Mazatlan).

Geomagnetic storm
none now G1 minor forecast today
Kp now
2 max 5 next 24 h (G1 minor storm)
Radio blackout
none now Cabo San Lucas is on the night side
Solar radiation storm
none now NOAA S scale
Kp for aurora at Cabo San Lucas
9 (extreme storms only) geomagnetic latitude 30.1° N
Solar wind speed
315 km/s slow, normal
Magnetic field Bz
1 nT north: quiet
Biggest flare, past 24 h
M3.5 Thu 11:33 am

Open on the live map

Aurora chance tonight in Cabo San Lucas

Unlikely tonight (Kp 2.3 forecast; Cabo San Lucas needs an extreme Kp 9 storm). At 30.1° N geomagnetic, Cabo San Lucas is far from the auroral oval; only extreme Kp 9 (G5) storms such as May 2024 bring the aurora into view, mostly to cameras.

At the forecast Kp 5, the aurora's visible edge stays about 2,570 km north of Cabo San Lucas.

Day (UTC)Max KpLevelAurora possible at Cabo San Lucas?
2026-11-064.7activeNo
2026-11-075G1 minor stormNo
2026-11-085G1 minor stormNo

NOAA 3-day space weather forecast

Chances that NOAA issues each level somewhere on Earth. Radio blackouts only affect the sunlit side; geomagnetic storms are global but strongest near the poles.

Day (UTC)Radio blackout R1–R2Radio blackout R3+Solar radiation storm S1+Geomagnetic storm
2026-11-0635%10%5%G1 minor
2026-11-0735%10%5%G1 minor
2026-11-0835%10%5%G1 minor

Strongest solar flares this week

C-class and stronger flares from the past 7 days, local time in Cabo San Lucas.

  • M3.5 flare peak Thu 11:33 am, R1 minor radio blackout
  • C5.6 flare peak Thu 7:51 pm
  • C2.9 flare peak Thu 2:34 pm
  • C2.5 flare peak Thu 5:24 pm
  • C2.2 flare peak Wed 10:34 am
  • C1.3 flare peak Thu 3:31 pm
  • C1.2 flare peak Thu 3:21 pm
  • C1.2 flare peak Tue 11:54 pm
  • C1.1 flare peak Thu 10:00 am
  • C1.1 flare peak Tue 3:39 pm

What the scales mean

Space weather is the Sun's effect on Earth. NOAA rates it on three 1–5 scales. R (radio blackouts) comes from solar flares: X-rays reach Earth in 8 minutes and disrupt HF radio on the sunlit side for minutes to hours. S (solar radiation storms) comes from energetic protons a few hours later, a hazard for satellites, polar flights and astronauts. G (geomagnetic storms) comes 1–3 days after a coronal mass ejection or a fast solar-wind stream hits the magnetic field: it drives the aurora and can upset GPS, HF radio and power grids.

The Kp index (0–9) measures geomagnetic activity in 3-hour blocks: Kp 5 is a G1 storm, Kp 6 G2, Kp 7 G3, Kp 8 G4 and Kp 9 G5. Flares are classed A, B, C, M and X by peak X-ray brightness, each class ten times the one before; M1 flares cause R1 blackouts and X1 flares R3.

Space weather for nearby cities

More sky pages

Guides

Data: NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center, GOES X-ray flux (NOAA), Open-Meteo (cloud cover), GeoNames.