Solar storm forecast East London

Space weather today in East London

Updated

G1 minor geomagnetic storm forecast. Aurora in East London: unlikely tonight (Kp 5 forecast; East London needs an extreme Kp 9 storm) It is daytime in East London, so a strong solar flare right now would affect HF radio here.

Space weather in East London today

G1 minor geomagnetic storm forecast (NOAA, 2026-11-06 03:27 UTC). The planetary Kp index is 2 now and forecast to peak at Kp 5 in the next 24 hours. NOAA gives a 35% chance of R1–R2 radio blackouts today, 10% for R3 or stronger, and 5% for a solar radiation storm.

Radio: solar flares only black out HF radio on the half of Earth facing the Sun. The Sun is 5° above the horizon in East London now (5:33 am local time). The biggest flare in the past 24 hours was M3.5 at 8:33 pm local time, while East London was on the night side. HF radio is mainly hit by daytime solar flares (radio blackouts), not by geomagnetic storms.

GPS and power: GPS is normally unaffected; only severe G4–G5 storms cause noticeable errors here. Power grid effects are very unlikely at this latitude.

Is there a solar storm today, and does it reach East London, Eastern Cape, South Africa? Live NOAA space weather, translated for East London: geomagnetic storms, solar flares and radio blackouts, GPS effects and tonight's aurora chance. Times are local (Africa/Johannesburg).

Geomagnetic storm
none now G1 minor forecast today
Kp now
2 max 5 next 24 h (G1 minor storm)
Radio blackout
none now East London is on the sunlit side
Solar radiation storm
none now NOAA S scale
Kp for aurora at East London
9 (extreme storms only) geomagnetic latitude 34.2° S
Solar wind speed
314 km/s slow, normal
Magnetic field Bz
1 nT north: quiet
Biggest flare, past 24 h
M3.5 Thu 8:33 pm

Open on the live map

Aurora chance tonight in East London

Unlikely tonight (Kp 5 forecast; East London needs an extreme Kp 9 storm). At 34.2° S geomagnetic, East London is far from the auroral oval; only extreme Kp 9 (G5) storms such as May 2024 bring the aurora into view, mostly to cameras.

At the forecast Kp 5, the aurora's visible edge stays about 2,109 km south of East London.

Day (UTC)Max KpLevelAurora possible at East London?
2026-11-064.7activeNo
2026-11-075G1 minor stormNo
2026-11-085G1 minor stormNo

NOAA 3-day space weather forecast

Chances that NOAA issues each level somewhere on Earth. Radio blackouts only affect the sunlit side; geomagnetic storms are global but strongest near the poles.

Day (UTC)Radio blackout R1–R2Radio blackout R3+Solar radiation storm S1+Geomagnetic storm
2026-11-0635%10%5%G1 minor
2026-11-0735%10%5%G1 minor
2026-11-0835%10%5%G1 minor

Strongest solar flares this week

C-class and stronger flares from the past 7 days, local time in East London.

  • M3.5 flare peak Thu 8:33 pm, R1 minor radio blackout
  • C5.6 flare peak Fri 4:51 am
  • C2.9 flare peak Thu 11:34 pm
  • C2.5 flare peak Fri 2:24 am
  • C2.2 flare peak Wed 7:34 pm
  • C1.3 flare peak Fri 12:31 am
  • C1.2 flare peak Fri 12:21 am
  • C1.2 flare peak Wed 8:54 am
  • C1.1 flare peak Thu 7:00 pm
  • C1.1 flare peak Wed 12:39 am

What the scales mean

Space weather is the Sun's effect on Earth. NOAA rates it on three 1–5 scales. R (radio blackouts) comes from solar flares: X-rays reach Earth in 8 minutes and disrupt HF radio on the sunlit side for minutes to hours. S (solar radiation storms) comes from energetic protons a few hours later, a hazard for satellites, polar flights and astronauts. G (geomagnetic storms) comes 1–3 days after a coronal mass ejection or a fast solar-wind stream hits the magnetic field: it drives the aurora and can upset GPS, HF radio and power grids.

The Kp index (0–9) measures geomagnetic activity in 3-hour blocks: Kp 5 is a G1 storm, Kp 6 G2, Kp 7 G3, Kp 8 G4 and Kp 9 G5. Flares are classed A, B, C, M and X by peak X-ray brightness, each class ten times the one before; M1 flares cause R1 blackouts and X1 flares R3.

Space weather for nearby cities

More sky pages

Guides

Data: NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center, GOES X-ray flux (NOAA), Open-Meteo (cloud cover), GeoNames.