Solar storm forecast Nara-shi

Space weather today in Nara-shi

Updated

G1 minor geomagnetic storm forecast. Aurora in Nara-shi: unlikely tonight (Kp 4 forecast; Nara-shi needs an extreme Kp 9 storm) It is daytime in Nara-shi, so a strong solar flare right now would affect HF radio here.

Space weather in Nara-shi today

G1 minor geomagnetic storm forecast (NOAA, 2026-11-06 03:27 UTC). The planetary Kp index is 2 now and forecast to peak at Kp 5 in the next 24 hours. NOAA gives a 35% chance of R1–R2 radio blackouts today, 10% for R3 or stronger, and 5% for a solar radiation storm.

Radio: solar flares only black out HF radio on the half of Earth facing the Sun. The Sun is 38° above the horizon in Nara-shi now (12:30 pm local time). The biggest flare in the past 24 hours was M3.5 at 3:33 am local time, while Nara-shi was on the night side. HF radio is mainly hit by daytime solar flares (radio blackouts), not by geomagnetic storms.

GPS and power: GPS is normally unaffected; only severe G4–G5 storms cause noticeable errors here. Power grid effects are very unlikely at this latitude.

Is there a solar storm today, and does it reach Nara-shi, Nara, Japan? Live NOAA space weather, translated for Nara-shi: geomagnetic storms, solar flares and radio blackouts, GPS effects and tonight's aurora chance. Times are local (Asia/Tokyo).

Geomagnetic storm
none now G1 minor forecast today
Kp now
2 max 5 next 24 h (G1 minor storm)
Radio blackout
none now Nara-shi is on the sunlit side
Solar radiation storm
none now NOAA S scale
Kp for aurora at Nara-shi
9 (extreme storms only) geomagnetic latitude 26.5° N
Solar wind speed
315 km/s slow, normal
Magnetic field Bz
1 nT north: quiet
Biggest flare, past 24 h
M3.5 Fri 3:33 am

Open on the live map

Aurora chance tonight in Nara-shi

Unlikely tonight (Kp 4 forecast; Nara-shi needs an extreme Kp 9 storm). At 26.5° N geomagnetic, Nara-shi is far from the auroral oval; only extreme Kp 9 (G5) storms such as May 2024 bring the aurora into view, mostly to cameras.

At the forecast Kp 5, the aurora's visible edge stays about 2,968 km north of Nara-shi.

Day (UTC)Max KpLevelAurora possible at Nara-shi?
2026-11-064.7activeNo
2026-11-075G1 minor stormNo
2026-11-085G1 minor stormNo

NOAA 3-day space weather forecast

Chances that NOAA issues each level somewhere on Earth. Radio blackouts only affect the sunlit side; geomagnetic storms are global but strongest near the poles.

Day (UTC)Radio blackout R1–R2Radio blackout R3+Solar radiation storm S1+Geomagnetic storm
2026-11-0635%10%5%G1 minor
2026-11-0735%10%5%G1 minor
2026-11-0835%10%5%G1 minor

Strongest solar flares this week

C-class and stronger flares from the past 7 days, local time in Nara-shi.

  • M3.5 flare peak Fri 3:33 am, R1 minor radio blackout
  • C5.6 flare peak Fri 11:51 am
  • C2.9 flare peak Fri 6:34 am
  • C2.5 flare peak Fri 9:24 am
  • C2.2 flare peak Thu 2:34 am
  • C1.3 flare peak Fri 7:31 am
  • C1.2 flare peak Fri 7:21 am
  • C1.2 flare peak Wed 3:54 pm
  • C1.1 flare peak Fri 2:00 am
  • C1.1 flare peak Wed 7:39 am

What the scales mean

Space weather is the Sun's effect on Earth. NOAA rates it on three 1–5 scales. R (radio blackouts) comes from solar flares: X-rays reach Earth in 8 minutes and disrupt HF radio on the sunlit side for minutes to hours. S (solar radiation storms) comes from energetic protons a few hours later, a hazard for satellites, polar flights and astronauts. G (geomagnetic storms) comes 1–3 days after a coronal mass ejection or a fast solar-wind stream hits the magnetic field: it drives the aurora and can upset GPS, HF radio and power grids.

The Kp index (0–9) measures geomagnetic activity in 3-hour blocks: Kp 5 is a G1 storm, Kp 6 G2, Kp 7 G3, Kp 8 G4 and Kp 9 G5. Flares are classed A, B, C, M and X by peak X-ray brightness, each class ten times the one before; M1 flares cause R1 blackouts and X1 flares R3.

Space weather for nearby cities

More sky pages

Guides

Data: NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center, GOES X-ray flux (NOAA), Open-Meteo (cloud cover), GeoNames.