Solar storm forecast Toledo, Central Visayas

Space weather today in Toledo, Central Visayas

Updated

G1 minor geomagnetic storm forecast. Aurora in Toledo, Central Visayas: unlikely tonight (Kp 4 forecast; Toledo, Central Visayas needs an extreme Kp 9 storm) It is daytime in Toledo, Central Visayas, so a strong solar flare right now would affect HF radio here.

Space weather in Toledo, Central Visayas today

G1 minor geomagnetic storm forecast (NOAA, 2026-11-06 03:27 UTC). The planetary Kp index is 2 now and forecast to peak at Kp 5 in the next 24 hours. NOAA gives a 35% chance of R1–R2 radio blackouts today, 10% for R3 or stronger, and 5% for a solar radiation storm.

Radio: solar flares only black out HF radio on the half of Earth facing the Sun. The Sun is 64° above the horizon in Toledo, Central Visayas now (11:33 am local time). The biggest flare in the past 24 hours was M3.5 at 2:33 am local time, while Toledo, Central Visayas was on the night side. HF radio is mainly hit by daytime solar flares (radio blackouts).

GPS and power: Near the magnetic equator, GPS signals can flicker after sunset (equatorial scintillation), most often near solar maximum and around the equinoxes. Power grid effects are very unlikely at this latitude.

Is there a solar storm today, and does it reach Toledo, Central Visayas, Philippines? Live NOAA space weather, translated for Toledo, Central Visayas: geomagnetic storms, solar flares and radio blackouts, GPS effects and tonight's aurora chance. Times are local (Asia/Manila).

Geomagnetic storm
none now G1 minor forecast today
Kp now
2 max 5 next 24 h (G1 minor storm)
Radio blackout
none now Toledo, Central Visayas is on the sunlit side
Solar radiation storm
none now NOAA S scale
Kp for aurora at Toledo, Central Visayas
9 (extreme storms only) geomagnetic latitude 1.5° N
Solar wind speed
315 km/s slow, normal
Magnetic field Bz
1 nT north: quiet
Biggest flare, past 24 h
M3.5 Fri 2:33 am

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Aurora chance tonight in Toledo, Central Visayas

Unlikely tonight (Kp 4 forecast; Toledo, Central Visayas needs an extreme Kp 9 storm). At 1.5° N geomagnetic, Toledo, Central Visayas is far from the auroral oval; only extreme Kp 9 (G5) storms such as May 2024 bring the aurora into view, mostly to cameras.

At the forecast Kp 5, the aurora's visible edge stays about 5,739 km north of Toledo, Central Visayas.

Day (UTC)Max KpLevelAurora possible at Toledo, Central Visayas?
2026-11-064.7activeNo
2026-11-075G1 minor stormNo
2026-11-085G1 minor stormNo

NOAA 3-day space weather forecast

Chances that NOAA issues each level somewhere on Earth. Radio blackouts only affect the sunlit side; geomagnetic storms are global but strongest near the poles.

Day (UTC)Radio blackout R1–R2Radio blackout R3+Solar radiation storm S1+Geomagnetic storm
2026-11-0635%10%5%G1 minor
2026-11-0735%10%5%G1 minor
2026-11-0835%10%5%G1 minor

Strongest solar flares this week

C-class and stronger flares from the past 7 days, local time in Toledo, Central Visayas.

  • M3.5 flare peak Fri 2:33 am, R1 minor radio blackout
  • C5.6 flare peak Fri 10:51 am
  • C2.9 flare peak Fri 5:34 am
  • C2.5 flare peak Fri 8:24 am
  • C2.2 flare peak Thu 1:34 am
  • C1.3 flare peak Fri 6:31 am
  • C1.2 flare peak Fri 6:21 am
  • C1.2 flare peak Wed 2:54 pm
  • C1.1 flare peak Fri 1:00 am
  • C1.1 flare peak Wed 6:39 am

What the scales mean

Space weather is the Sun's effect on Earth. NOAA rates it on three 1–5 scales. R (radio blackouts) comes from solar flares: X-rays reach Earth in 8 minutes and disrupt HF radio on the sunlit side for minutes to hours. S (solar radiation storms) comes from energetic protons a few hours later, a hazard for satellites, polar flights and astronauts. G (geomagnetic storms) comes 1–3 days after a coronal mass ejection or a fast solar-wind stream hits the magnetic field: it drives the aurora and can upset GPS, HF radio and power grids.

The Kp index (0–9) measures geomagnetic activity in 3-hour blocks: Kp 5 is a G1 storm, Kp 6 G2, Kp 7 G3, Kp 8 G4 and Kp 9 G5. Flares are classed A, B, C, M and X by peak X-ray brightness, each class ten times the one before; M1 flares cause R1 blackouts and X1 flares R3.

Space weather for nearby cities

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Guides

Data: NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center, GOES X-ray flux (NOAA), Open-Meteo (cloud cover), GeoNames.